Evaluation of Local Government Performance and Presidential Approval in Mexico

Evaluación del desempeño del gobierno local y aprobación presidencial en México

Alejandra ARMESTO

Idioma original

Resumen

¿Se benefician los presidentes del buen desempeño de los gobiernos locales? Este artículo argumenta que, en sistemas multinivel donde la claridad de responsabilidades es baja, la aprobación presidencial es afectada por la evaluación ciudadana del desempeño de los gobiernos subnacionales. Este trabajo explora los efectos secundarios del desempeño subnacional en la aprobación presidencial en México, apoyado en datos del estudio del Barómetro de las Américas efectuado en 2012. Los resultados de las regresiones logísticas ordinales y regresiones aparentemente no relacionadas indican que la satisfacción con los servicios prestados por los gobiernos locales se asocia positivamente con la aprobación presidencial.

Palabras clave: probación presidencial; sistemas multinivel; claridad de responsabilidad; desempeño del gobierno


Abstract

Does presidential approval benefit from government performance at the subnational level? This article argues that in multilevel systems, in which clarity of responsibility for policy is low, presidential approval ratings are af fected by citizens' evaluation of subnational government performance. This paper explores the spillover effects of citizens' evaluation of subnational government performance on presidential approval in Mexico, based on data from the 2012 Americas Barometer study. The results from ordinal logistic regressions and seemingly unrelated regressions indicate that citizen satisfaction with services provided by local governments is positively associated with presidential approval ratings.

Keywords: presidential approval; multilevel systems; clarity of responsibility; government performance; Mexico



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